El Niño Advisory Oceanic Niño Index +2.46 °C · very strong NOAA, 12 November 2026 Next update 10 December 2026
The Climate Map

About

The Climate Map shows, for every country, what the next six months are likely to bring: the rainfall and temperature odds from the monthly seasonal forecast, the air-quality forecast for the main cities, and how past El Niños played out there, which matters now that a strong 2026–27 El Niño is under way. Everything is built from official data from NOAA and the European Copernicus programme.

The site is run independently. It is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, NOAA, Copernicus, ECMWF, the WMO or any national weather service.

How it is funded

Through advertising and, later, clearly labelled sponsorship of the email alerts.

Our rules

  1. Warnings links, outlooks and country pages are always free.
  2. We report odds from official data and say when the data is weak.
  3. No scare headlines.
  4. Sponsors and advertisers never influence content. Sponsored lines are labelled.
  5. Mistakes are corrected quickly and listed publicly on the corrections page.