El Niño Advisory Oceanic Niño Index +2.46 °C · very strong NOAA, 12 November 2026 Next update 10 December 2026
The Climate Map

Sources and credits

Data Provider Licence Credit shown Updated
El Niño status and Oceanic Niño Index NOAA Climate Prediction Center US Government work (public domain) Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center Monthly (status 12 November 2026)
Seasonal forecast (ECMWF SEAS5, system 51) Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) CC BY 4.0 plus the C3S licence for non-European contributions Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026 Monthly (issued November 2026)
ERA5 monthly reanalysis, 1979-2025 Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) CC BY 4.0 Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026 Yearly
PM2.5 forecast Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) CC BY 4.0 Generated using Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information 2026 Daily (run 2026-11-14 00 UTC)
Floods, cyclones, droughts, forest fires (type, level, place, dates) GDACS, the Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (United Nations and European Commission) No licence stated on its terms page; shown with credit and a link to each GDACS report Source: GDACS Each update
Wildfires and severe storms (place, dates, size) NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET) No licence stated on its About page Source: NASA EONET Each update
Carbon dioxide (Mauna Loa) and methane (global) NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory US Government data; licence terms not yet confirmed Source: NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory Monthly
Global surface temperature NASA GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP v4) US Government data; licence terms not yet confirmed Source: NASA GISTEMP v4 Monthly
Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extent US National Snow and Ice Data Center, Sea Ice Index Licence terms not yet confirmed Source: NSIDC Sea Ice Index Daily values, shown as monthly averages
Global mean sea level NOAA Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry Acknowledgment requested in the data file Altimetry data are provided by NOAA Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry When NOAA updates the series
Emissions and electricity mix by country Our World in Data, based on the Global Carbon Project, Ember and the Energy Institute CC BY 4.0 Source: Our World in Data Yearly
Climate news headlines Found through the GDELT Project; each headline links to the publishing outlet GDELT: free for commercial use with a citation and link Found through the GDELT Project Every run
Country borders, cities Natural Earth Public domain Made with Natural Earth —

Events are not official alerts. GDACS says its information is indicative and does not replace alerts from national authorities; NASA says EONET is for general information only. Follow your national weather service for warnings.

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