El Niño Advisory Oceanic Niño Index +2.46 °C · very strong NOAA, 12 November 2026 Next update 10 December 2026
The Climate Map

Terms of use

  1. Information only. This site gives seasonal odds and model forecasts. It is not an official forecast or warning and must not be used as a substitute for one. Follow your national weather service and local authorities for warnings and safety decisions.
  2. No guarantee. Forecasts can be wrong. We take care to process the data correctly but give no guarantee that it is accurate, complete or up to date.
  3. No liability. To the extent the law allows, we are not liable for any loss arising from decisions made using this site.
  4. Reusing our numbers. The derived numbers on this site are free to reuse, including commercially, with a credit link to The Climate Map (https://howstheclimate.org) and the original data providers listed on the sources page.
  5. Embeds. You may embed our country widgets on any site, provided the built-in credit link stays visible.
  6. Our text. The written text and design of this site are copyright 2026 The Climate Map.
  7. Changes. We may update these terms; the date of the latest version is shown here.

Last updated: 15 November 2026.