El Niño Advisory Oceanic Niño Index +2.46 °C · very strong NOAA, 12 November 2026 Next update 10 December 2026
The Climate Map
Situations

Long-running events, kept up to date

One page for each large, ongoing climate event: where it stands, the outlook, what has happened so far and how it compares with the past. Every section shows the date it last changed.

SituationStatusLast changed
El Niño 2026–27
El Niño continues to strengthen, with a strong-to-very strong El Niño likely through January-March 2027 (remaining greater than a 79% chance).
El Niño Advisory15 November 2026
Southeast Asia smoke and air quality
Five-day air-quality forecast for the region's main cities, current fires and unhealthy-air events, and the rainfall outlook that decides how long the dry season lasts.
3 of 11 countries with an unhealthy day forecast15 November 2026
Droughts worldwide
Every drought listed by GDACS in the last 30 days, and the countries where the next three months are most likely to be drier than normal.
13 drought records, 85 countries15 November 2026