El Niño Advisory Oceanic Niño Index +2.46 °C · very strong NOAA, 12 November 2026 Next update 10 December 2026
How's the Climate
Situation · 13 drought records, 85 countries

Droughts worldwide

Every drought listed by GDACS in the last 30 days, and the countries where the next three months are most likely to be drier than normal.

Snapshot

Where it stands

Last changed 15 November 2026

GDACS lists 13 drought records touching 85 countries in the last 30 days, 4 of them at its orange or red level.

For December–February, the seasonal forecast leans drier than normal in 50 countries of a million people or more, and rates a drier season as likely in 42 of them.

A drought record can cover many countries at once; GDACS's own report says which areas are affected.

Drought records13
Countries touched85
Orange or red level4
Drier season favoured, December–February50
Droughts

Drought records, last 30 days

Last changed 15 November 2026
  • DroughtSeriousDrought in Aruba, Brazil and 6 more countries. GDACS alert level: Orange. Area affected: 1,735,191 km2. Started 21 September 2022.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in New Zealand. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 46,791 km2. Started 21 July 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtSeriousDrought in Burundi, Democratic Republic of the Congo and 12 more countries. GDACS alert level: Orange. Area affected: 1,451,032 km2. Started 21 May 2026. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtSeriousDrought in Belize, Costa Rica and 9 more countries. GDACS alert level: Orange. Area affected: 977,982 km2. Started 21 April 2026. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtSeriousDrought in Andorra, Albania and 27 more countries. GDACS alert level: Orange. Area affected: 2,099,822 km2. Started 21 December 2025. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in United States. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 212,854 km2. Started 21 August 2025. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in Madagascar. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 70,447 km2. Started 21 November 2025. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in India. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 411,829 km2. Started 21 June 2026. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in China, Kazakhstan and 2 more countries. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 328,031 km2. Started 21 June 2026. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia and 4 more countries. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 1,594,763 km2. Started 21 March 2026. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in Brazil. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 116,747 km2. Started 21 September 2022. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in Bangladesh, Bhutan and 6 more countries. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 634,227 km2. Started 21 May 2026. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC
  • DroughtAdvisoryDrought in Angola, Democratic Republic of the Congo and 4 more countries. GDACS alert level: Green. Area affected: 342,294 km2. Started 21 December 2025. Ended 13 November 2026.GDACSUpdated 15 Nov, 05:57 UTC

Not an official alert. Events from GDACS, NASA EONET and the Copernicus air-quality forecast. Being listed here does not mean an event was caused by El Niño.

Outlook

Most likely to be drier, December–February

Last changed 15 November 2026

The 20 countries of a million people or more with the highest odds of a drier season.

CountryRainfall, December–FebruaryDrier / normal / wetterTemperature
NicaraguaLikely drier>95% · <5% · <5%Likely warmer
PhilippinesLikely drier>95% · <5% · <5%Likely warmer
MalaysiaLikely drier94% · 6% · <5%Likely warmer
HondurasLikely drier92% · 6% · <5%Likely warmer
Trinidad and TobagoLikely drier92% · 8% · <5%Likely warmer
GuatemalaLikely drier90% · 8% · <5%Likely warmer
BrazilLikely drier88% · 10% · <5%Likely warmer
ChileLikely drier82% · 18% · <5%Likely warmer
BoliviaLikely drier78% · 20% · <5%Likely warmer
Equatorial GuineaLikely drier78% · 18% · <5%Likely warmer
BotswanaLikely drier75% · 11% · 14%Likely warmer
CameroonLikely drier75% · 17% · 8%Likely warmer
GhanaLikely drier75% · 21% · <5%Likely warmer
NamibiaLikely drier75% · 13% · 12%Likely warmer
VenezuelaLikely drier75% · 23% · <5%Likely warmer
PanamaLikely drier73% · 25% · <5%Likely warmer
South AfricaLikely drier71% · 25% · <5%Likely warmer
TunisiaLikely drier69% · 17% · 14%Likely warmer
LesothoLikely drier67% · 17% · 16%Likely warmer
LiberiaLikely drier67% · 25% · 8%Likely warmer

Source: Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecast, issued November 2026. World outlook map

Sources

Data and citation

Last changed 15 November 2026
  • Droughts: GDACS, the Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
  • Seasonal outlook: Copernicus Climate Change Service, Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) seasonal forecasts, ECMWF system 51.

Cite as: “Droughts worldwide”, How's the Climate, https://howstheclimate.org/situations/droughts/, version of 15 November 2026.