El Niño Advisory Oceanic Niño Index +2.46 °C · very strong NOAA, 12 November 2026 Next update 10 December 2026
How's the Climate
Drought · Serious

Drought in Aruba, Brazil and 6 more countries

GDACS alert level: Orange. Area affected: 1,735,191 km2. Started 21 September 2022.

The facts

What the source reports

TypeDrought
LevelSerious (GDACS Orange)
Started21 September 2022
StatusUnder way
Area affected1,735,191 km2
Last update from source15 Nov, 05:57 UTC

Full report: GDACS. This page is rebuilt from the source's own figures at each update.

Looking ahead

The outlook where this is happening

Rainfall odds for December–February from the Copernicus seasonal forecast.

CountryRainfall, December–FebruaryTemperature
ArubaLikely drierLikely warmer
BrazilLikely drierLikely warmer
ColombiaNo clear signalLikely warmer
Costa RicaLikely drierLikely warmer
GuyanaLikely drierLikely warmer
PanamaLikely drierLikely warmer
SurinameLikely drierLikely warmer
VenezuelaLikely drierLikely warmer