Eastern Europe
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 10 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | Likely wetter | 12% / 21% / 67% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Bulgaria | No clear signal | 29% / 34% / 37% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Czech Republic | Leaning wetter | 14% / 41% / 45% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Hungary | Likely wetter | <5% / 35% / 61% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Moldova | Leaning wetter | 16% / 41% / 43% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Poland | Leaning wetter | 18% / 33% / 49% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Romania | Likely wetter | 18% / 27% / 55% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Russian Federation | Likely wetter | 16% / 17% / 67% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Slovakia | Likely wetter | 12% / 27% / 61% |
11 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Ukraine | Likely wetter | 8% / 27% / 65% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods