Middle Africa
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 9 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola | Likely wetter | 22% / 25% / 53% |
11 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Cameroon | Likely drier | 75% / 17% / 8% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Central African Republic | Likely drier | 55% / 25% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Chad | Likely drier | 57% / 23% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | No clear signal | 29% / 34% / 37% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Equatorial Guinea | Likely drier | 78% / 18% / <5% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Gabon | Likely drier | 51% / 33% / 16% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Republic of the Congo | Leaning drier | 47% / 33% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| São Tomé and Principe | Likely drier | 67% / 23% / 10% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods