Western Asia
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 19 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | Likely wetter | 6% / 29% / 65% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Azerbaijan | Likely wetter | 6% / 21% / 73% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Bahrain | Leaning wetter | <5% / 55% / 41% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Cyprus | Likely drier | 59% / 21% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Georgia | Likely wetter | 8% / 39% / 53% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Iraq | Likely wetter | 12% / 25% / 63% |
11 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Israel | No clear signal | 33% / 28% / 39% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Jordan | Leaning wetter | 25% / 32% / 43% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Kuwait | Leaning wetter | 18% / 35% / 47% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Lebanon | Leaning drier | 45% / 33% / 22% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Northern Cyprus | Likely drier | 55% / 25% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Oman | Likely wetter | 12% / 35% / 53% |
11 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Palestine | Leaning wetter | 31% / 26% / 43% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Qatar | Leaning wetter | 12% / 41% / 47% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Saudi Arabia | Leaning wetter | 22% / 35% / 43% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Syria | Leaning wetter | 29% / 24% / 47% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Turkey | Leaning wetter | 18% / 33% / 49% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| United Arab Emirates | Likely wetter | 8% / 27% / 65% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Yemen | Likely wetter | 18% / 29% / 53% |
12 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods