Western Europe
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 9 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | Leaning wetter | 16% / 39% / 45% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Belgium | Likely wetter | 12% / 37% / 51% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| France | No clear signal | 31% / 30% / 39% |
11 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Germany | Likely wetter | 14% / 35% / 51% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Liechtenstein | Leaning wetter | 12% / 39% / 49% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Luxembourg | Likely wetter | 6% / 41% / 53% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Monaco | Leaning wetter | 20% / 31% / 49% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Netherlands | Likely wetter | 20% / 27% / 53% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Switzerland | Leaning wetter | 8% / 47% / 45% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods