Eastern Asia
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 8 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Likely wetter | <5% / 14% / 86% |
11 of 15 wetter | Likely warmer |
| Dem. Rep. Korea | Likely wetter | 8% / 19% / 73% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Hong Kong | Likely wetter | 6% / 16% / 78% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Japan | Likely wetter | <5% / 20% / 80% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Macao | Likely wetter | 8% / 10% / 82% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Mongolia | Likely wetter | <5% / 12% / 86% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Republic of Korea | Likely wetter | 6% / 19% / 75% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Taiwan | Likely wetter | 16% / 13% / 71% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods