South-Eastern Asia
Rainfall and temperature odds for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season, for all 11 countries and territories.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Drier / normal / wetter | Past El Niños | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunei Darussalam | Likely drier | >95% / <5% / <5% |
12 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Cambodia | Likely drier | 65% / 27% / 8% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Indonesia | Leaning wetter | 18% / 39% / 43% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Lao PDR | No clear signal | 29% / 38% / 33% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Malaysia | Likely drier | 94% / 6% / <5% |
11 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Myanmar | Leaning drier | 41% / 39% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Philippines | Likely drier | >95% / <5% / <5% |
15 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Singapore | Likely wetter | <5% / 31% / 67% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Thailand | No clear signal | 35% / 45% / 20% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
| Timor-Leste | Likely drier | 61% / 25% / 14% |
11 of 15 drier | Likely warmer |
| Vietnam | Likely drier | 61% / 31% / 8% |
No clear pattern | Likely warmer |
Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (seasonal forecast, ERA5); NOAA Climate Prediction Center (El Niño seasons). Methods